So yesterday's estimate of a massive lead for Karzai in Afghanistan's election efforts appears to be way off. Pajhwok is now saying Karzai only leads Abdullah 40.6% to 38.7% with only 10% of the votes tallied.

Disregard yesterday's post. I still wouldn't bet against Karzai winning (legitimately or not), but if he doesn't pull in a majority there will be a runoff.