I'm getting a little tired of all the veepstakes speculation in the media. Not because I'm disinterested, but I'm tired of reading columns about front runners that might as well have been written by a dog chasing a flashlight beam. Obama's visiting Virginia? It's going to be Kaine. Biden went to Georgia? He's now the hands-down favorite. Tomorrow if Obama accidentally sneezes after someone mentions Evan Bayh's name, we'll see dozens of articles declaring him the next vice president.
Pundits/journalists/bloggers are attempting to make educated guesses with about a week's worth of information, at best. Election media cycles are so short that the people immersed in them forget what happened a month or so ago, and they're approaching this decision with a short-term mindset. Obama, and hopefully any candidate, has put a lot of thought into the decision over several months, and although a single event the weekend before the announcement might bump someone over the top if they were already at the top of the list, it's not going to completely change the outcome. That would be a horrible decision-making process.
That said, I have no idea who either of them are going to pick either, but I can't resist going on record with a guess, just in case I'm right. It's awfully hard to resist chasing that flashlight beam, after all.
For Obama:
Wesley Clark. His military background trumps McCain's, but unlike Joe Biden, he still reinforces the change/outsider brand that Obama has established. Obama's brand is almost too strong. He risks seriously damaging it if he picks someone seen as an insider, so trying to find a VP with experience to balance the ticket is tricky. I think Clark does that well enough. A lot of people wrote him off after he said McCain's experiences as a POW wasn't enough to qualify him for commander in chief, but that was just a small bump in the road and shows he's not afraid to go after McCain.
Backup pick: Kathleen Sebalius.
For McCain:
Mitt Romney. I think McCain's going to play it safe, and that means going with Romney, who party loyalists preferred during the primaries. He doesn't bring any key demographics or add to the ticket a lot, but he'll say and believe anything the party wants him to, and that's why they like him. He'll be a vicious attack dog, not that McCain has needed it so far. He is a little more credible on the economy than McCain, and since that has been the top issue so far in the campaign, I think it'll be enough to convince him.
Backup pick: Christine Todd Whitman (but only if Obama doesn't pick a female VP)
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Comments (2)
test comment
Posted by Elyas | August 28, 2008 11:29 PM
testing 1, 2, 3
Posted by elyas | August 28, 2008 11:29 PM